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Nifty Steadies Above Support as IT Leads Rally; Macro Tailwinds Boost Sentiment

Nifty Steadies Above Support as IT Leads Rally; Macro Tailwinds Boost Sentiment

Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd

Index Update: The Nifty 50 ended at 25,141.40, up 0.15%, staying above its 50-day SMA of 24,228.01 and sustaining bullish momentum. RSI at 62.54 indicates strengthening trend without overbought pressure. The index holds above key support at 24,800–24,900, maintaining its breakout. A close above 25,200 may trigger fresh upside, while dips toward 24,900 could find support. Overall, the near-term outlook remains positive.

Macro Update: India's 10-year bond yield eased to 6.35% after an initial rise following the RBI's surprise 50 bps rate cut and neutral policy shift. The Indian rupee strengthened to 85.5/USD on robust foreign inflows, easing trade tensions, and upbeat US-India trade talks. RBI’s liquidity halt and dovish stance reflect efforts to support growth amid stable inflation.

Top Market Movers: On Wednesday, HCL Technologies Ltd (NSE: HCLTECH) led the gainers with a 3.23% increase, closing at INR 1,721.90 followed by Infosys Ltd (NSE: INFY) up 2.20% at INR 1,631.10, and Tech Mahindra Ltd (NSE: TECHM) which rose 1.65% to INR 1,637.50. On the downside, Shriram Finance Ltd (NSE: SHRIRAMFIN) saw the largest drop, falling 2.05% to INR 686.05 followed Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (NSE: POWERGRID) down 1.86% to INR 295.45 and Adani Enterprises Ltd (NSE: ADANIENT), which dropped 1.22% to INR 2,581.20.

Commodity Update: The dollar held steady on Wednesday as investors welcomed a potential U.S.-China trade agreement framework, raising hopes of easing trade tensions. Gold rose 0.49% to $3,359.59, silver edged up 0.23% to $36.72, and copper gained 0.05% to $9,759.65. Brent crude dipped 0.36% to $66.63 amid cautious sentiment, with traders awaiting President Trump’s review and concerns over weak Chinese demand and rising OPEC+ output.

Our Stance: The market outlook remains constructive, supported by sustained index strength above key technical levels, easing bond yields, and a firmer rupee. Positive trade developments and RBI’s accommodative stance further reinforce sentiment. Select IT stocks show strong momentum, while broader consolidation and healthy macro signals suggest potential for continued near-term upside.

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