Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd
Index Update: The Nifty 50 fell 96.55 points to close at 25,327.05 but continues to hold above the 50-day SMA at 24,885.07, offering solid support. Upward momentum remains intact, with the RSI at 63.71 nearing overbought levels. A breakout above 25,500 could unlock further upside, while 24,890 serves as the critical support to monitor for potential pullbacks.
Macro Update: Indian 10-year G-Sec yields hovered near a four-week low around 6.5%, supported by RBI’s fiscal prudence push and foreign inflows into Indian debt. Mixed Fed signals after a 25bps cut kept global rate expectations uncertain but anchored domestic sentiment reinforced stability in Indian bonds despite external volatility.
Top Market Movers: On Friday, Adani Enterprises Ltd (NSE: ADANIENT) led the gainers with a 5.08% increase, closing at INR 2,524.00 followed by IndusInd Bank Ltd (NSE: INDUSINDBK) up 1.22% at INR 744.40, and Bharti Airtel Ltd (NSE: BHARTIARTL) which rose 1.10% to INR 1,962.40. On the downside, HCL Technologies Ltd (NSE: HCLTECH) saw the largest drop, falling 1.77% to INR 1,467.40 followed Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd (NSE: M&M) down 1.38% to INR 3,592.10 and ICICI Bank Ltd (NSE: ICICIBANK), which dropped 1.37% to INR 1,402.20.
Commodity Update: Commodity Update: The U.S. dollar steadied in early Asian trade Friday, edging up against the yen ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy decision, as markets sought fresh direction after the Federal Reserve’s rate cut. Gold rose 0.11% to $3,682.30, silver gained 0.65% to $42.38, and copper advanced 0.33% to $9,982.30. Brent crude slipped 0.12% to $67.36, pressured by concerns over U.S. fuel demand.
Our Stance: Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as Nifty sustains above key support levels and bond yields stay anchored near recent lows. Selective stock strength offsets sectoral weakness, while commodities reflect mixed global cues. Near-term direction hinges on Fed policy clarity, RBI guidance, and resilience of foreign inflows into Indian assets.

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