Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd
Index Update: The Nifty 50 declined 57.95 points to close at 25,732.30, easing from the day’s high. The index finished below its 50-day Simple Moving Average at 25,961.59, which continues to act as an immediate resistance level. The RSI improved to 41.16, suggesting a modest recovery from lower levels, though overall momentum remains subdued. On the downside, support is placed near 25,500, while resistance is seen around 26,500. A sustained move above 26,350 would be required to improve near-term confidence.
Macro Update: India’s 10-year G-sec yield rose to around 6.63% after Bloomberg deferred India’s global bond index inclusion, triggering unwinding of inflow-driven positions. Tightening liquidity, cautious foreign investors, and global risk factors offset RBI support measures, keeping yield expectations elevated despite lower state borrowing.
Top Market Movers: On Tuesday, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (NSE: ONGC) led the gainers with a 3.42% increase, closing at INR 243.78 followed by Eternal (NSE: ETERNAL) up 3.26% at INR 294.55 and Tech Mahindra (NSE: TECHM) which rose 1.81% to INR 1,614.80. On the downside followed Trent (NSE: TRENT) saw the largest drop, falling 3.32% to INR 3,921.90 followed Larsen & Toubro (NSE: LT) down 3.27% to INR 3,887.40 and Reliance Industries (NSE: RELIANCE), which dropped 2.05% to INR 1,452.80.
Commodity Update: The U.S. dollar stayed under pressure on Tuesday after the Trump administration opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns over central bank independence and confidence in U.S. assets. Gold slipped 0.19% to USD 4,608.30, while silver rose 0.85% to USD 85.78 and copper advanced 0.94% to USD 13,219.20. Brent crude oil remained higher, trading up at USD 63.87, after surging to seven-week highs, supported by concerns that Iran’s oil exports could decline amid heightened geopolitical tensions.
Our Stance: Markets remain range-bound amid weak momentum, elevated bond yields, and mixed global cues. Technical indicators suggest limited upside unless key resistance levels are reclaimed. Stock-specific opportunities persist, but near-term caution is warranted as macro uncertainty, tight liquidity, and geopolitical risks continue to influence investor sentiment.

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